The Cartel Is In Trouble

When a terrorist organization runs out of money from idealistic states that sponsors them, they look for other ways to finance the operations of terror.

Hezbollah is such an organization. The Iranian backed organization is in trouble in so many ways but two main problems are the participation of the terrorist group in the wrong side of the Syrian civil war and the other is the reduced relevance of the organization to the resistance against the "Israeli Threat". With the fear of a sectarian civil war spilling over to Lebanon, the organization is losing some wind from its sails and therefore some of the flush of funding it used to get from Iran. Iran is under a lot of sanctions pressure and is not sending all the cash they used to send in the past.

So, the organization is turning into a crime cartel in order to fund its operations. I just came back from a trip to Frankfurt Germany where I observed some of the operations of the criminal arms of the organization. Most were just money laundering operations but some involved the buying and selling of stolen cars. The organization actually funnels stolen and used cars from the US and South America into Eastern Europe and mostly African countries. My sources in South American and Mexico say that Hezbollah representatives are heavily involved in the trafficking of drugs from South America into the US but mostly Canada where they have a much heavier presence.

I am encouraged that in recent reports the free people of Syria have called the Hezbollah the Party of Satan rather than the Party of God as its namesake implies. I am happy that the organization is getting politically weaker and I am happy that they have to resort to pure vile criminal acts to keep their death business going, its bad I know, but I am also happy to hear that many of their operatives are dying in fights with the rebels in Syria, but I am not happy that the Syrian regime keeps on being the corridor for them to get more and more weapons that would be used against Israel in a future conflict.

As Satan lost the battle with God many times, I hope this Satan will lose this battle...

The Doomsday Scenario

Today a revelation of a Syrian chemical weapons scientists showed us that the western intelligence agencies assessment that Syria has the largest chemical weapons stockpiles was exactly on the spot. It was not that apparent though how much of the toxic weapons Syria had and what was the extent of its lethal stockpiles.

The rouge exile chemical weapons scientist revealed that Syria has over 3000 pounds of Sarin gas that can be mounted on Scud D missiles and now given the civil war, the effort to get these gas weapons on artillery shells. The scientist even reveled that Syria has a large stockpile of VX nerve gas which is highly lethal. The Syrian scientist were told that their work in their secret facility (The facility was bombed by Israeli jets twice in the past few months; thank god for the saviors of the new age of mankind) , included over 900 scientists that were closely watched by the Syrian regime and that they were convinced they were building the equivalent of the Israeli nuclear bomb in order to protect the homeland. They did not know that the Assad regime would actually use these weapons against its own people.

Is it okay to use it against any one indeed is the question that needs to be asked but even the US is believed to have these stockpiles.

What is interesting is to think about is what will happen if in any future conflict with the Assad regime with Israel, they would use these weapons against Israeli population? It is told that the Scud D missile mounted with chemical weapons could create a 3 kilometer wide cloud of death over the area it would be sent to attack. That sounds lethal. The question is what would Israel do in retaliation to such an attack? Would it send a nuclear weapon against Syria, I highly doubt it. The western countries such as the US or Britain would ask for "restraint" in the retaliatory attack? Restraint?

Only Israel would be asked to use restraint in the face of a chemical weapon attack and that kills me to even think about it. What would happen if a US or British town would be attacked with such a weapon?

In My opinion, Damascus should be destroyed to ashes if such a weapon should be used. However, being a reasonable, god fearing man, I am always baffled by this conundrum?

What would you do?

Is a Russian - Israeli confrontation immanent?

The Russians don't understand why is everyone making a big deal out of the fact that they are providing sophisticated weapons to the brutal Assad regime. The problem for Israel is not the Assad regime, as much as they would like to look sympathetic to the plight of the poor victims of the civil war with Syria, the real danger to Israel is the transfer of these weapons to the Hezbollah. These weapons include Scud - D surface to surface missiles, SA-17 and S-300 air defense systems and Surface to Sea Yahunt missiles.

The meetings that the Israeli prime minister just had in Russia were not pleasant;  The Russians basically told him not to try and meddle in their business and in return the defiant prime minister threatened he will attack every shipment of weapons he could identify. In response, the Russians sent 4 new war crafts to the area increasing the level of possibility of a confrontation. Will that ever happen? Its hard to believe but its possible.

The Syrians don't know how to operate these advanced weapons systems and therefore they acquire the services of Russian consultants an sometimes military personal. In case Israel decides to attack one of the shipments, its possible that Russian personnel will be hurt by that action (Iranian personnel did die in the past Israeli attacks on weapons shipments; see my previous post on that).

Will the Russians retaliate directly against Israeli targets? If they do, it would be the first time a direct confrontation has happened between one of the superpowers and Israel.

Difficult to imagine but not incomprehensible.

The Russian Roulette

I am sure all of you noticed the frantic meetings between world leaders and the Russians lately.  Secretary of State Kerry, Benjamin Netanyahu and more. What they are all looking to do in Russia is convince the Russians not to sell the advanced air defense system called S-300 to the Syrian regime.  Similar efforts were taken to prevent the sale to the Iranians but with no real success. The Russians see the $$$ signs in this and other conflicts and are eager to see these conflicts prolong so they can sell lots of arms and advice. In Iran, the system was supposedly not really sold but versions of it were shipped to the Iranians and then that government called the system an Iranian name.

A shipment of this kind of system to Syria will prevent or rather disrupt any further air campaign over Syria if any western country would wish to help the rebels in Syria. Bombings like the one done by Israel last week over Syrian or Lebanese airspace would be come much more difficult.

Any attempts from the US or Israel to convince the Russians not to sell the S-300 system would either fail or come at a high counteroffer of some sort of concession from the Western powers.


Now here is why you come to my blog; to hear something that was not mentioned before in any other media.

What the Russians don't know is that Israeli technology experts have manged to find a way to disable the S-300 system from afar. This is a card though that you only pull out of your sleeve in the case of an attack on Iran, not in routine bombing raids over Syria.

Are the tensions going to lead to war?

If you read my last post you would agree I was right about Israel not waiting for any red lines to be crossed in order for it to act unilaterally to eliminate imminent risk.

Now lets speculate what will happen next;

Israeli forces are accumulating on the northern borders

A new bunker buster bomb was displayed to the Israeli army by the Americans to try and convince them not to attack Iran this summer (BTW, Israel already has this technology so thanks but we don't need it)

When Israeli airplanes attacked the Syrian target, they were flying in hundreds of miles away and sent their Popeye missiles to their target from that far. That showed the Iranians that Israeli planes don't even need to be close to their nuclear facilities in order to attack them.

A new nuclear submarine was just put into action after it was delivered by Germany

Israel has been very silent about Iran in the past weeks.

Weather is best around June over Iran

Food for thought

Do Red Lines Really Matter?

It seems like Red Lines do not matter these days. You set one up for North Korea and they just spit in your face. You set one up for Syria and Obama says "We need to investigate further". Israel set one up for Iran and...

Well, in that case, I think its going in the opposite direction; its my real belief that Israel will attack Iran before these Red Lines are reached.

Iran is speeding forwards in terms of its military nuclear weapons program and I don't believe according to my sources that much time is left before the attack. Mark my words!